Mariia Tkacheva vs Alexandra Shubladze Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In the upcoming tennis match, an examination of recent performance statistics provides valuable insights into predicting the favorite. Shubladze, in the last six months, won only 16.67% of points on their second serve, while Tkacheva achieved a significantly higher 37.95% in the same category. This discrepancy suggests Tkacheva's stronger second serve performance might play a crucial role in the match's outcome.

A closer look at return game statistics also highlights Tkacheva's dominance. Tkacheva won 49.45% of their opponent's second serve points, compared to Shubladze's 28.57%. In addition, Tkacheva's first serve return points stand at 33.46%, noticeably higher than Shubladze's 25%. These figures indicate Tkacheva has the edge in returning serve effectively, a key factor in determining the match favorite.

Analyzing performance under pressure, Shubladze failed to save any breakpoints, while Tkacheva managed to save 48.42%. This difference suggests Tkacheva is more adept at handling critical moments in matches, which may influence in-game betting predictions.

In terms of overall performance over the past year, Shubladze has a win rate of 75% (W/L 18/6), slightly higher than Tkacheva’s 70% win rate (W/L 49/21). Despite this, both players have been competing in similar tournament levels, predominantly at the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, where Shubladze won 68.75% and Tkacheva won 69.35% of their respective matches.

Considering surface preferences, both players exhibit their strongest performances on hard courts, with Shubladze boasting a 78% win rate and Tkacheva a 71% win rate. On clay, Shubladze shows a 74% win rate, whereas Tkacheva’s performance declines to 51%. This factor could be significant if the match is held on a hard surface.

Furthermore, Shubladze has not won any deciding sets in the past year, while Tkacheva has emerged victorious in 64% of such instances. This statistic suggests that if the match reaches a deciding set, Tkacheva is more likely to prevail.

Lastly, when it comes to breakpoint conversion, Shubladze has converted none of their opportunities to break serve, while Tkacheva converted 42.72% of their chances. This ability to capitalize on crucial points reinforces the prediction that Tkacheva is well-positioned to win the match.

Based on these statistical analyses, Tkacheva's superior performance in several key areas such as return games, breakpoint conversion, and handling pressure, positions her as the likely winner over Shubladze in this encounter.